01
Tracking real economic output
We will publish ongoing research tracking the work powerful AI generates rather than just assists, measured in problems closed and dollars that bought more, refined from real usage once data collection is complete.
//ECONOMIC FUTURES
Measuring the economic output powerful AI generates.
We are gathering data to measure how powerful AI raises real output and lowers the costs people feel. Research-driven, data gathering in progress, results we can show you coming soon.
BAP / Outcomes, Not Promises
//THE PROGRAM
Measuring the real output powerful AI produces.
The Economic Futures program compiles original research and field surveys, and continuously tracks how powerful AI impacts the world: the output it produces, the costs it lowers for households, and the benefit that compounds. We publish what holds up as the data matures.
02
Learning from the field
We are working with economists, industry professionals, and policy experts to learn where abundant expert effort lowers the cost of health, energy, and education, and lifts real incomes in practice.
03
Privacy-first research
Our Economic Futures research will run on privacy-preserving analysis that lets us learn from usage patterns while protecting individual privacy, because the safe path and the credible path are the same path.
//WHY ECONOMIC FUTURES
Value creation, not vanity metrics.
//THE CASE
- 01The claims are everywhere
- 02Measure what matters
- 03Build the dataset
//01 The claims are everywhere
The claims are everywhere.
Claims that AI boosts productivity are everywhere. But where is the data? Most metrics count activity without asking whether any of it puts measurable good into people's lives.
What most tools count
- Tokens generatedvanity
- Active usersvanity
- Messages sentvanity
- Queries handledvanity
//02 Measure what matters
Measure what matters.
Does the work actually get done, not just assisted? Do household costs fall? Do real incomes rise? We track outcomes we can show you, not vanity metrics.
What Economic Futures measures
- Work done, not assistedvalue
- Output per personvalue
- Real incomes raisedvalue
- Output per dollarvalue
//03 Build the dataset
Build the dataset.
Through privacy-preserving analysis of BAP usage, we are gathering data to build the first rigorous dataset on the economic output powerful AI generates, proven with outcomes, not promises.
The dataset
Completionrates
Workflowchanges
Opportunitycapture
The first rigorous dataset on the economic output powerful AI generates, compiled from privacy-preserving analysis of BAP usage.
//THE METHOD
The signals we are compiling.
Work generated
How much of the work gets carried to completion by the system itself, not just sped up for the person holding it.
Costs that move
Where the price of health, energy, and education falls, and whether those gains reach a rural clinic as readily as a top lab.
Benefit that compounds
Whether each round of work lays a foundation the next one builds on, so the floor people start from keeps rising.
If powerful AI is going to change how people live, we need real data, not vendor marketing, to guide decisions about adoption, regulation, and investment.
Open findings, published once compilation is completeIn collaboration with economists, policy experts, and researchers
Help shape the research.
Our team is compiling rigorous research on the economic output powerful AI generates. If you want to contribute insights, data, or expertise to this work, we want to hear from you.